has a new post! Go check out which rookies CKShreve thinks you should be picking up by clicking on the menu above.
Thursday, October 30, 2014
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
All-Star vs. All-Misfit Week 8!
These next two weeks are the most important weeks of the
regular season in fantasy football.
I’m not joking. The roster decisions you make in Week 9 and Week 10 will likely decide your fantasy championship. For all of those 6-2, 7-1, or (nice going) 8-0 teams out there, you can take a hit at this point. That means that if you have a player with great matchups in your league’s championship weeks, you can take a 0 at their position if they’re on bye here. Maybe make some trades, boost up your roster. You’ve almost locked up a playoff spot and now that should be your entire focus.
For those teams that are 5-3, 4-4, or 3-5, these weeks are also insanely critical. You’re two games out of locking up a playoff spot or falling completely out of contention. You cannot afford to take 0s, and if you’re rostering two middle-of-the-road TEs, D/STs, or QBs…. Well, don’t do that.
I’m not joking. The roster decisions you make in Week 9 and Week 10 will likely decide your fantasy championship. For all of those 6-2, 7-1, or (nice going) 8-0 teams out there, you can take a hit at this point. That means that if you have a player with great matchups in your league’s championship weeks, you can take a 0 at their position if they’re on bye here. Maybe make some trades, boost up your roster. You’ve almost locked up a playoff spot and now that should be your entire focus.
For those teams that are 5-3, 4-4, or 3-5, these weeks are also insanely critical. You’re two games out of locking up a playoff spot or falling completely out of contention. You cannot afford to take 0s, and if you’re rostering two middle-of-the-road TEs, D/STs, or QBs…. Well, don’t do that.
Oh and for those stuggling teams out there - Sometimes you’re
the highest scorer in your league. Sometimes, you’re the second highest scorer in
your league. In one of my leagues this week, I was the latter… against the former.
Some days you put up 182 and they put up 190. Luck of the draw.
The All-Star team contains the top players from each
position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton Manning was
the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s the weekly
All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next person at that
position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the second QB off
the board). The All-Misfit team contains the players that nobody expected to
score, but hit paydirt. This team will change drastically week-to-week, as no
player can be on it consecutive weeks.
The scoring is ESPN standard, and the team format is: QB,
RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, D/ST, K.
Without further ado, here is your Week 8 All-Star team!
QB: Peyton
Manning – 23 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 9 points
RB: Jamaal Charles - 23 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 9 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 10 points
TE: Jimmy Graham - 11 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 12 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 15 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 9 points
RB: Jamaal Charles - 23 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 9 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 10 points
TE: Jimmy Graham - 11 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 12 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 15 points
Total: 115 points
With Calvin Johnson gone another week (and surprise: he’s
gone this week too, folks… Bye Week) Dez tried to fill in again here and
failed. However, the takeaways here are that Jamaal Charles’ sluggish start to
the season is now a thing of the past – he’s gotten over 100 yards from
scrimmage in his last few games. Also – Jimmy Graham is healthy and officially
back on the “start with confidence” TE1 spectrum. He’ll return to Top-3 TE
shape in no time. McCoy’s still trying to find some holes – I bet he’d find
more if he bought all of his O-Line the new Madden
so they can see how good they’re supposed
to be. Seahawks D/St bounced back after all that chatter, but they’re still
matchup dependent, like almost every defense except perhaps the Lions.
Here’s the All-Misfit team!
QB: Ben
Roethlisberger - 44 points
RB: Lorenzo Taliaferro - 18 points
RB: Theo Riddick - 13 points
WR: Brandin Cooks - 21 points
WR: Donte Moncrief - 17 points
TE: Tim Wright - 12 points
D/ST: Dolphins - 26 points
K: Billy Cundiff - 13 points
RB: Lorenzo Taliaferro - 18 points
RB: Theo Riddick - 13 points
WR: Brandin Cooks - 21 points
WR: Donte Moncrief - 17 points
TE: Tim Wright - 12 points
D/ST: Dolphins - 26 points
K: Billy Cundiff - 13 points
Total: 164 points
Ok, so Big Ben’s Big Day (dibs on the children’s book with
that title…) totally skewed this. But last week was a crazy fantasy week, with
a bunch of big days for a bunch of people. I expect Taliaferro to be a weekly
Flex consideration, with Bernard Pierce clearly in the doghouse. Brandin Cooks
is also legit – another weekly flex with WR2 upside (especially playing at home…
and he’s a solid WR2 in PPR). Tim Wright makes his second appearance on the misfit
team – all that guy does is catch touchdowns, annoy Gronk owners, and catch
more touchdowns. Ben Roethlisberger’s production here is a complete flash in the pan – don’t buy into it. If you started him,
great. If not, don’t start him this week.
VICTORY: Misfits. By a lot.
Overall: Misfits lead 3-1-1.
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Week 9 Waiver Picking
This week is TERRIBLE bye-week. Good luck.
QUARTERBACKS
Michael Vick (@ Kansas City)
Yah, yah, yah I get why you’re screaming at me. But Michael
Vick used to be a great QB, and at this point he’s fighting for a starting
spot. He’s got cool toys with Eric Decker and Percy Harvin, and the guy can
still run. I think he’ll do fine this week.
Brian Hoyer (vs. Tampa Bay)
I’d start YOU versus Tampa Bay. But seriously – he doesn’t
completely suck as an NFL QB. Ignore the Jacksonville game. He’ll throw it a
couple of times into the endzone.
Teddy Bridgewater (vs. Washington)
Washington’s young secondary looked great on Monday Night
Football. But that was a rivalry game in the spotlight. I expect Bridgewater to
air it out a lot (especially since Washington actually has a good run defense
this year). He’ll throw a TD and maybe sneak one in on the ground.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Mike Evans (@ Cleveland)
He’s getting a decent amount of targets every game, and
Haden will try to take away VJax. I think this opens up the field for Evans to
score again.
Martavis Bryant (vs. Baltimore)
Just want to throw it out there – the Steelers’ offense
looked phenomenal this past weekend. Roethlisberger is coming to Baltimore for
a rivalry game, and he’s coming in hot. Bryant will get his.
Allen Robinson (@ Cincinnati)
I like Allen Robinson, and he is the only receiving option
you want to own in Jacksonville. He finds the endzone and gets a ton of targets
against a Bengals defense that is floundering.
RUNNING BACKS (aka
Slim Pickin’s)
Charles Sims (@ Cleveland)
You heard it here first (maybe). Lovie Smith inherited Doug
Martin and Bobby Rainey when he came to Tampa Bay. He chose Charles Sims, and talked him up this week. Sims can
pass-catch and run the ball hard… and he’s super-duper available in nearly
every league out there. Grab him.
DeAngelo Williams (vs. New Orleans)
I usually don’t advocate for starting a Carolina RB. But
this week, you may be desperate, and Williams loves to run. He’s the best back
on the team, and the only one that’s really healthy.
Denard Robinson (@ Cincinnati)
I told you last week to get him. A lot of you didn’t. Your
loss – he’s a bright spot in an otherwise dismal offense. Seriously though – he’s
running through holes that aren’t there.
TIGHT ENDS
Dwayne Allen (@ NYG)
Allen is a top-12 TE and I don’t understand why he’s so
available. That said, he’s got a good matchup against the Giants, and he’s a
favorite target of Andrew Luck.
Larry Donnell (vs. Indianapolis)
On the other side of this game, I think it’s time for
Donnell to reemerge. Coming out of the bye, I think he and Eli had a meeting
and realized that Eli+Donnell=Touchdowns=winning. I’m not good at math, but I
think winning is good.
Niles Paul (@ Minnesota)
Jordan Reed is a top-10 TE. But Gruden has realized that he
needs to buy time for his QB to throw at his star wide receiving duo. Niles
Paul is their blocking back, and he also gets open for dump passes when
coverage breaks down. He’s seeing a lot of snaps, which is worth a streaming
add this week.
Monday, October 27, 2014
TOFFG interview: Marshawn Lynch!
This week, we had the honor of interviewing a man of few words - Marshawn Lynch. He typically doesn't like talking to the media, but we were able to get some fake answers out of him.
The Other Fantasy Football Guys: Thank you for joining us today, Mr. Lynch. Can we
call you Marshawn?
Marshawn Lynch: Yah.
TOFFG: You actually seem to have a lot of nicknames, such as
“Skittles,” “Beast Mode,” and even “Money” back in college at Cal. Where do all
of these come from?
ML: I’m Beast Mode on the field. It’s what I do.
TOFFG: What about “Skittles?”
ML: Yo, have you ever had Skittles? Taste the rainbow, man.
I got a custom Skittles dispenser in my locker. Keep me goin’.
TOFFG: It really does seem to. You have been unstoppable on
the field, but you’ve averaged 300 carries per season going into this year.
Aren’t you worried about getting hurt?
ML: I’m just ‘bout that action, boss.
TOFFG: Yes, we know. But what about your physical condition?
Have you had any worries about your ability to continue playing at this level?
ML: No. I’m worried about other people trying to play at my
level.
TOFFG: Right… in other news, how do you feel about the Percy
Harvin trade?
ML: Damn, they got my *censored*.
TOFFG: I’m terribly sorry, Skittles. But how do you prepare
for games, going forward? Your team can’t stretch the field as much, so they
might not be able to give you the ball.
ML: Stay ready so it ain’t no getting ready.
TOFFG: What does that even mean?
ML: ...
Thursday, October 23, 2014
Shutup and Listen (Fantasy Football for Mature Audiences)...
... has a new post from contributor CKShreve! Check it out in the menu above.
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
All-Star vs. All-Misfit, Week 7!
This is a public service announcement – if you have any
players on the Lions or Falcons, make sure your lineups are set by 9 am EST.
THE GAME IS IN LONDON… with a super early kickoff. Those of you who have Reggie
Bush/Calvin Johnson will get clarity on whether they’re playing, super early.
But if you have to choose between a Lions/Falcons player and a player later in
the day, then… good luck, I guess.
Just a reminder - The All-Star team contains the top players
from each position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton
Manning was the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s
the weekly All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next
person at that position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the
second QB off the board). The All-Misfit team contains the players that nobody
expected to score, but hit paydirt. This team will change drastically
week-to-week, as no player can be on it consecutive weeks.
The scoring is ESPN standard, and the team format is: QB,
RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, D/ST, K.
Without further ado, here is your Week 7 All-Star team!
QB: Peyton
Manning – 28 points
RB: Matt Forte – 22 points
RB: Jamaal Charles - 16 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 15 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 29 points
TE: Jimmy Graham - 0 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 1 point
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 9 points
RB: Matt Forte – 22 points
RB: Jamaal Charles - 16 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 15 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 29 points
TE: Jimmy Graham - 0 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 1 point
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 9 points
Total: 120 points
As usual, all Forte does is produce, produce, produce.
Demaryius pulled off another great game – stacking him with Peyton Manning is a
winning combination this and every year. However, Jimmy Graham played dead this
week… after he was a surprise active. A lot of people (this guy!) were burned
by that. Seahawks have become a matchup-based defense… you can safely drop them
if they have a rough matchup and someone better is available (Lions, Colts,
etc).
Here’s the All-Misfit team!
QB: Kyle Orton - 15 points
RB: Tre Mason - 14 points
RB: Denard Robinson - 18 points
WR: Kenny Stills - 16 points
WR: Allen Robinson - 12 points
TE: Gavin Escobar - 18 points
D/ST: Vikings - 14 points
K: Blair Walsh - 13 points
RB: Tre Mason - 14 points
RB: Denard Robinson - 18 points
WR: Kenny Stills - 16 points
WR: Allen Robinson - 12 points
TE: Gavin Escobar - 18 points
D/ST: Vikings - 14 points
K: Blair Walsh - 13 points
Total: 120 points
I think all of these players are legit pickups if you need
someone in a deeper league, except for Gavin Escobar. Surprise game from Denard
Robinson – the Jags are the third-worst run-blocking offense in the league. If
the Jags continue to run with him, he could be an intriguing add.
VICTORY: NO ONE! Tie, 120 all.
Overall: Misfits lead 2-1-1. (I've only done this a few weeks, y'all. Calm down.)
Tuesday, October 21, 2014
Week 8 Waiver Picking
We're halfway to the playoffs. It's time to let some formerly good players go. Here's a list of widely-owned players I think can be dropped/traded in all standard 10-team leagues if you need space: Cordarrelle Patterson, Zac Stacy, Toby Gerhart, Steven Jackson, Doug Martin, Jason Witten, Chris Johnson, Montee Ball, Darren McFadden, Shonn Greene, Riley Cooper, Hakeem Nicks, and Larry Fitzgerald. Commence the riots.
Here's my waiver recommendations for this week.
QUARTERBACKS
Kyle Orton @ NYJ
I think Kyle Orton has figured out this offense – but
frankly that doesn’t matter. He’s playing the Jets, who have a terrible, awful,
no good, very bad secondary. They won’t have an answer for the Orton-to-Watkins
formula… and that spells success.
Teddy Bridgewater @ Tampa Bay
Remember that preseason Vikings offense that everyone
thought would be feared? The one that had AP, Rudolph, and soon-to-be phenom
Cordarrelle Patterson? Well… that dream is dead. However, Teddy Bridgewater
will show a shadow of that against the Bucs. Start him.
Jake Locker vs. Houston
Jake Locker is coming back! Jake Locker is coming back! We
think. But if he plays this week, I like him better than either of the two
above-mentioned QBs. He’s got talent to throw to (Justin Hunter, Kendall
Wright, and Delanie Walker) and he can run (18 for 107 yards and a touchdown
this season). So grab him and go. I like him as a high-end QB2 in 10 team
leagues for the rest of the year.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Davonta Adams @ New Orleans
An offense that has Aaron Rodgers throwing the rock can usually
support about 3 WRs, and Davonta Adams has taken over that 3rd WR
role. With two touchdowns over the last three games, Adams is a great waiver
add this week against a terrible New Orleans defense.
Doug Baldwin @ Carolina
In case you’ve lived under a rock for the past week, Percy
Harvin is now over with the Jets. This opens the door for Doug Baldwin to do
nothing but produce, produce, produce. Seattle will have to move the ball, and
to do so Baldwin will have to catch a few. So grab him – he’s a weekly WR2/Flex
play from here on out.
Jarius Wright @ Tampa Bay
See Teddy Bridgewater above. Bridgewater is going to have a
big week, and a rising tide lifts all boats (or something like that… I suck at established
metaphors). He’s produced pretty regularly since his breakout week 4, so you
can start him this week with a good degree of confidence.
RUNNING BACKS (aka
Slim Pickin’s)
Note: I’m not listing matchups here. The running backs I
list below need to be owned in all
12-team leagues. Some of them need to even be owned in all 10-team leagues.
Yes, I mean for the rest of the season.
Tre Mason (St. Louis Rams)
Zac Stacy played 1 snap. ONE. SNAP. Tre Mason is the clear
leader of a platoon that includes Benny Cunningham and Stacy (but not really
Stacy – ONE SNAP). The Rams have a good O-Line for Mason to run behind, and
Mason could emerge as the official starter if he keeps this up. It’s true that
he doesn’t play in third-down passing situations, but that very likely will
change as the Rams fall in love with this kid. Add him in all 10-team leagues.
(Drop Zac Stacy.)
Denard Robinson (Jacksonville Jaguars)
No, the Jaguars are not suddenly going to be good. However,
Denard Robinson has the chance to solve fantasy woes for those of you who have
Toby Gerhart. Robinson is going to be the starter going forward, and he’s got
explosive ability and soft hands. I don’t like his apparent lack of ability to
make defenders miss, but if you get him in open space or outside the tackles he
will take it to the house. I expect the Jags to be down a lot (duh) but because
he operates as a receiver too then he will stay on the field. (Note: in Yahoo
leagues he has dual RB/WR eligibility, which is cool.)
Bryce Brown (Buffalo Bills)
Sure, he hasn’t played a snap this year. In fact, he hasn’t
been active for a single game this year. But he’s a young, explosive talent that
will take over for the Bills now that Spiller is out for the season and FJax is
out for a month. There are platoon concerns with Anthony Dixon, but I think
Brown is the guy in Buffalo. Add in 10-team leagues. (Bonus: You can also add
Anthony Dixon in 12-team leagues.)
TIGHT ENDS
Charles Clay @ Jacksonville
I like Charles Clay as a TE2. I like matchups against
Jacksonville. I like Charles Clay against Jacksonville as a borderline TE1.
Math.
Scott Chandler @ NYJ
The Jets defense is bad against tight ends… really the Jets
defense is bad against anything through the air. Chandler is in a position to
produce this week, and he’s received at least 5 targets in all but 1 game he’s
played in this year. I say he finally finds the endzone this week with some
decent yardage to go with it.
Lance Kendricks @ Kansas City
3 touchdowns in his last 4 games – they like to look for him
in the endzone. You can make an argument to start any tight end in the league this year, but this is a pretty
convincing one. If you’re desperate, grab him.
Photo Credit
Photo Credit
Monday, October 20, 2014
TOFFG interviews... Johnny Manziel and Brian Hoyer!
The Other Fantasy Football Guys brings you the best mediocre fantasy advice on the planet - and now we bring you the best mediocre fake interviews! This week, we interview both Brian Hoyer and Johnny Manziel. One is the starting quarterback for the 3-3 Cleveland Browns, and the other is the Heisman-winning, hard-partying superstar backup quarterback for the 3-3 Cleveland Browns.
JM: Twice a day man, I’m regular. Cash.
The Other Fantasy Football Guys: Thank you both for talking
to us today!
Brian Hoyer: It’s a pleasure to be here.
Johnny Manziel: Yah man it’s cash.
TOFFG: Johnny, we’ll start with you. How was it to attempt
your first pass back in the game against the Saints?
JM: It was a real thrill bro. You see, they snapped me the
ball, right? And then… and then I passed it. The guy dropped it but hey it was
a great pass.
TOFFG: That it was, Johnny. You think you’ll attempt another
one soon?
JM: Yah, of course, I mean, did you see the Jags game?
TOFFG: We did. That we did. Ugly loss there – 24 to 6. Let’s
talk about that actually. Brian – you attempted 41 passes against the Jags,
completing just 18 of them. Have you considered retiring?
BH: Retiring? What? No. I’ve only played 6 seasons. That was
a tough game, the Jags played us hard –
TOFFG: Johnny’s only got one incompletion this season. You
had 23 in this game alone.
BH: He’s only attempted one pass!
TOFFG: Yah but it looked great. On the other hand, you throw
incomplete passes 2,300 percent more often than Johnny per game. Are you
feeling the pressure?
JM: He’s feelin’ the pressure.
BH: I’m not feeling the pressure. We had good wins against
Pittsburgh, Tennessee, and New Orleans. I’m the team’s starting QB. Now, why
don’t we talk about how –
TOFFG: Johnny, do you see yourself taking the Browns to the
Super Bowl?
JM: Twice a day man, I’m regular. Cash.
TOFFG: That’s good to hear, but we meant the NFL Super Bowl.
JM: Oh, yah. I mean, I won a Heisman and I party hard… so
that means I’m good at football and partying. And the Super Bowl is a big
football party, so I think I’d be good at that, so I think I’m gonna win the
Super Bowl.
TOFFG: How soon do you see yourself taking the reins and
leading the Browns to their first-ever Super Bowl win?
JM: Now when you say “Browns” you mean Cowboys, right?
TOFFG: Do you think you’ll be traded to the Cowboys?
JM: Jerry Jones thinks so.
TOFFG: Now Brian – if Johnny is traded to the Cowboys, how
do you think that affects your ability to win the starting job here in
Cleveland?
BH: I’m the starter now, you a**hole.
TOFFG: Right… and what does Jacksonville think about that?
BH: **** you.
JM: Cash.
Sunday, October 19, 2014
The Other Guys Take the NFL...
have completed their weekend picks! Read it, take the advice, win your league. (Use the menu above!)
Saturday, October 18, 2014
B. Kent of The Other Guys Take the NFL...
has posted his weekend analysis/picks! Check it out in the menu above.
Thursday, October 16, 2014
The Other Guys Take The NFL...
...has analysis for tonight's New England Patriots vs. New York Jets game! Check it out using the menu bar above.
Shutup and Listen (Fantasy Football for Mature Audiences)...
has a new post from contributor CKShreve! Check it out using the menu above.
Wednesday, October 15, 2014
All-Star vs. All-Misfit, Week 6
My friend Jordan S. messaged me his fantasy sorrows.
The poor guy thought his team was solid. He was in a 14-team league, and had traded for some good (not great) fantasy players to compliment his team. He was projected to win this past week 103-78. Going into Sunday, he was all but assured of a win.
But this would be a boring story if he won.
He lost Stevan Ridley and Victor Cruz to injury, and then his QB (Eli Manning) doesn’t show up to play. His Bengals defense fell apart and cost him some points. The rest of his team couldn’t pull out the W. Tough loss, but that’s fantasy.
He wakes up Tuesday and goes to work at the bank where he’s a teller. He writes, “I was cashing this customer’s check when my phone buzzed. I looked at it and let out a little groan. The customer asked me if something was wrong, and all I said was ‘Looks like I lost Knowshon Moreno for the season too.’”
The poor guy thought his team was solid. He was in a 14-team league, and had traded for some good (not great) fantasy players to compliment his team. He was projected to win this past week 103-78. Going into Sunday, he was all but assured of a win.
But this would be a boring story if he won.
He lost Stevan Ridley and Victor Cruz to injury, and then his QB (Eli Manning) doesn’t show up to play. His Bengals defense fell apart and cost him some points. The rest of his team couldn’t pull out the W. Tough loss, but that’s fantasy.
He wakes up Tuesday and goes to work at the bank where he’s a teller. He writes, “I was cashing this customer’s check when my phone buzzed. I looked at it and let out a little groan. The customer asked me if something was wrong, and all I said was ‘Looks like I lost Knowshon Moreno for the season too.’”
If you lose someone to injury, remember this: You’re not
Jordan. Here’s the weekly All-Star vs. All-Misfit matchup.
Just a reminder - The All-Star team contains the top players
from each position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton
Manning was the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s
the weekly All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next
person at that position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the
second QB off the board). The All-Misfit team contains the players that nobody
expected to score, but hit paydirt. This team will change drastically
week-to-week, as no player can be on it consecutive weeks.
The scoring is ESPN standard, and the team format is: QB,
RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, D/ST, K.
Without further ado, here is your Week 5 All-Star team!
QB: Peyton
Manning – 21 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 14 points
RB: Matt Forte - 27 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 6 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 16 points
TE: Julius Thomas - 11 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 9 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 16 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 14 points
RB: Matt Forte - 27 points
WR: Dez Bryant - 6 points
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 16 points
TE: Julius Thomas - 11 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 9 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 16 points
Total: 120 points
With Calvin Johnson, Jamaal Charles, and Jimmy Graham out
this week, we saw some new faces on the All-Star team. Shady McCoy had his best
game of the season, although he didn’t find the endzone. I think he’s back (for
real). Matt Forte is reminding fantasy owners why they drafted him in their top
5 overall this season, while Dez Bryant suffered from a Dallas team that now
like to run. With the injury to Graham, I think Julius Thomas is almost a lock
to end the year as the number 1 fantasy TE. He’s certainly putting up enough
touchdowns.
Here’s the All-Misfit team!
QB: Derek Carr – 25 points
RB: Theo Riddick - 13 points
RB: Antone Smith - 12 points
WR: Brandon Lloyd - 14 points
WR: Robert Woods - 15 points
TE: Clay Harbor - 15 points
D/ST: Titans - 12 points
K: Graham Gano - 13 points
RB: Theo Riddick - 13 points
RB: Antone Smith - 12 points
WR: Brandon Lloyd - 14 points
WR: Robert Woods - 15 points
TE: Clay Harbor - 15 points
D/ST: Titans - 12 points
K: Graham Gano - 13 points
Total: 119 points
Surprising game for Derek Carr – but I’m not buying it for
the rest of the season. Theo Riddick is about to disappear again with Reggie
Bush coming back for a “revenge” game against the Saints. You don’t really need
to pay attention to Lloyd, Woods, or Harbor – these were fairly fluky games for
them and they’re not reliable fantasy options. However, I will say this: FREE
ANTONE SMITH. He’s produced on extremely limited touches, imagine what even a
half-workload would do.
VICTORY: For the first time, ALL-STARS!!
(Slightly Late) Week 7 Free-Agent Picking
Whoops. Mid-October is here and I missed an update Tuesday. However, I did update the layout/theme of the site... hopefully you like it (and if you don't, comment below?) I know you all were craving it, so here's the Week 7 Waiver Free Agent Picks.
I'm recommending these players either because they have a change in situation (someone got injured or someone got smart) or because they are have a decent matchup when players are on bye.
Go get 'em.
I'm recommending these players either because they have a change in situation (someone got injured or someone got smart) or because they are have a decent matchup when players are on bye.
Go get 'em.
QUARTERBACKS
Austin Davis (not especially vs. Seattle. But after that?
Yah)
Davis came out slingin’ against the 49er’s, and he looked
great in the first half. In fact, he looked pretty OK in the second half too.
He’s had a few good halves this year, and he’s got good weapons around him. I
think he strings together a pretty good game soon. He’s a great bye-week add if
you need one… just not against Seattle.
Ryan Tannehill @ Chicago
Don’t get me wrong – Tannehill is not a stud. However, he
threw to seven different receivers last week and has put up two touchdowns in
each of his last two games. Miami wants to run the ball, but with Moreno out
they’ll end up slinging the rock a lot as well. And Tannehill’s running ability
is the most overlooked stat in the league – he’s run 16 times for 102 yards
this year (6.4 YPA average).
Tom Brady vs NYJ
Is Tom Brady back? Maybe. Does it matter? Not really. New
England lost its lead back when Ridley went down, which means the Patriots
either have to lean more on Shane Vereen (not likely), lean more on Branden
Bolden, or let Tom Brady throw it more. My money’s on the three-time Superbowl
Champion.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Odell Beckham Jr. @ Dallas
With Victor Cruz down, and Reuben Randle likely owned in
your league, turn to Odell Beckham Jr. He is a rookie talent who the Giants
need to utilize if they’re going to have any passing game… which they clearly
realize. He’s been named the starting WR across from Randle, and will be a huge
factor going forward.
Mohamed Sanu @ Indianapolis
Sanu is another guy who has stepped up because of injury –
and now that Marvin Jones is out for the season he’s likely to maintain his
value. He exploded last week, so he may have been claimed in your league. However,
if he is available you have to grab him. With AJ Green likely out another week,
he’s the best WR option the Bengals have.
Brandon LaFell vs NYJ
LaFell is a mystery wrapped in an enigma – he’s exploded in
the last two road games and produced duds in the last two home games. However,
he’s going up against a depleted Jets secondary that just lost Dee Milliner for
the season. I think he’s going to have a good day, even though he doesn’t like
to show up at home.
RUNNING BACKS (aka
Slim Pickin’s)
Jerick McKinnon @ Buffalo
McKinnon finally got the start over Matt Asiata this week –
after I told you to pick him up last week. However, many of you have still not
picked him up. In case you need convincing, here’s his stat line from this past
week: 11 rushes for 40 yards and 6 catches for 42 yards… AGAINST THE DETROIT
LIONS, who have one of the absolute best run defenses in the league. Sure, he’s
up against Buffalo this week (another good run defense) but you’re going to add
him and start him. This is your last chance.
Ronnie Hillman vs SF
Another guy who got a good opportunity this week and is going
to stay there. Sure, I have concerns about Juwan Thompson getting the goal line
carries. But Ronnie Hillman ran well where Montee Ball did not. When Ball comes
back, Hillman likely keeps this job.
Storm Johnson vs Cleveland
This is more a PSA for you Toby Gerhart owners out there
than an endorsement of Storm Johnson – if you want to own a Jags running back,
you want Storm Johnson. Toby Gerhart is not good. But then again, the Jags are
not good. So if you own one of their RBs, it better be this guy.
TIGHT ENDS
Dwayne Allen vs Cincinnati
The Cincinnati defense has been embarrassed the past two
weeks (it suck - I have them in two leagues). Allen has produced 4 touchdowns
in his last 6 games, and his yardage totals aren’t bad either. He’s one of
Andrew Luck’s favorite targets in the endzone, against the league’s worst TE
defense. Go get ‘em.
Jared Cook vs. Seattle
Yes, it’s Seattle. But Seattle is actually the second worst
TE defense in the league (after the Bengals… see Allen, Dwayne). Cook has had
at least 4 catches and 44 yards in each contest this year, and Austin Davis
will have to throw to him to have any success in this game.
Jace Amaro - @ NE
This is more for deeper leagues, but Jace Amaro is worth a
look. If you need a tight end this week, consider that Amaro is going against a
Patriots defense that allowed 105 yards to Scott Chandler last week. For those
of you who are scratching your heads and asking “Who’s Scott Chandler?” – he’s
the Bills’ tight end. And Amaro is better than him.
Monday, October 13, 2014
TOFFG Interview: Bill Belichick!
The Other Fantasy Football Guys brings you the best mediocre fantasy advice on the planet - and now we're bringing you the best mediocre fake interviews! Starting with Bill Belichick - head coach of the Patriots, five time Super Bowl Champion, and the physical incarnation of Satan to fantasy players everywhere.
The Other Fantasy Football Guys: Mr. Belichick, thank you so much for talking to us today. Can we call you Bill?
The Other Fantasy Football Guys: Mr. Belichick, thank you so much for talking to us today. Can we call you Bill?
Bill Belichick: No.
TOFFG: Right… Mr. Belichick, I’m sure you’ve seen on ESPN and Yahoo the comment that you must hate fantasy football players, because you change your gameplan every week so that you have no real fantasy-reliable players. What do you have to say to that?
BB: I don’t hate fantasy football players. I’m a fantasy football player myself.
TOFFG: Oh? How many leagues are you in?
BB: One. And I’ve won it three times. 2001, 2003, and 2004.
TOFFG: Those happen to be all the years you won the Super Bowl with the Patriots.
BB: I draft Patriots.
TOFFG: But Mr. Belichick, if you draft Patriots then why is New England’s
backfield so unclear? It’s always been a weekly debate between Stevan Ridley
and Shane Vereen. Even now that Ridley’s out for a while, we have to debate
between Brandon Bolden and Vereen. Why the uncertainty?
BB: That’s easy. I hate Shane Vereen.
TOFFG: What?
BB: I hate Shane Vereen. It’s my personal mission to make his life hell. I’d
trade him off the Patriots, but it’s easier to torture him if I have direct
control over his snap count.
TOFFG: Is he on your fantasy team?
BB: Hell no. But I know he has himself on his team. So I give him enough snaps
to give him hope that he’ll do well, then hand the goal-line touches to some
lumbering oaf like James Develin. He loses his matchup every week. Almost enough to make me smile. Almost.
TOFFG: But what about Ridley’s lack of touches?
BB: I have Ridley on my team, and I usually give him the bulk of the carries
when I’m gonna have a tight fantasy game. I have Brandon Bolden handcuffed to
him though. That’s why Bolden had 10 carries when Ridley went down.
TOFFG: Ok… What about Tom Brady? I guess it must have stunk to have him for the
first four weeks of the season.
BB: I actually didn’t have him for the first four weeks – I just recently got
him in a trade. That’s why I’m giving him the ball more now. I didn’t want
someone else to cash in on my gameplan.
TOFFG: So does that mean we can count on Brady for the rest of the season?
BB: No. I might trade him. You know who you can count on though? Tim Wright.
TOFFG: Tim Wright? Are you serious? He’s owned in less than 5% of leagues!
BB: Yes, but I just started a league where I have two TE slots. So I start
Gronk and Wright. That’s why Wright had 1 catch for 1 yard and 1 touchdown. I
was playing against Vereen and he was in line for the carry… so I had Brady
throw it to Wright. Vereen almost had an aneuryism. Wright's gonna get a TD a week if I can manufacture it.
TOFFG: Why hasn’t Danny Amendola done anything for fantasy owners this year? He
seems almost like an afterthought in your real-life offense.
BB: Wes Welker has Danny Amendola on his fantasy team. F**k Wes Welker.
TOFFG: You are a horrible, vindictive little man.
BB: Correct. But I have five more Super Bowl rings than you.
TOFFG: And three more fantasy championships. Any last comments for our
readers?
BB: On to Chicago.
TOFFG: You play the Jets next – it’s a division matchup. On Thursday night.
BB: Yah, but they suck. On to Chicago.
Friday, October 10, 2014
The Other Guys Take the NFL...
... is now live! Check out the analysis for Week 5 from B. Kent and J. Harris. Check it out in the menu above.
Thursday, October 9, 2014
The Other Guys Take the NFL
... is now live! Check out the Thursday Night Game discussion from B. Kent and J. Harris!
Shutup and Listen (Fantasy Football for Mature Audiences)...
has a new post from contributor CKShreve! Check it out using the navigation menu above.
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
All-Star vs. All-Misfit, Week 5
Another week. Another matchup. Another victory. If this
doesn’t sound like you, you should examine your lineup. Ask yourself: Did you start your studs? If the answer
is yes, then ask yourself – what could
you have done better?
The answer is: Probably nothing.
The answer is: Probably nothing.
This has been a wacky fantasy season, and it doesn’t look
like that will change. Here’s 5 weekly ways to deal with it:
1 - Cry.
2 - Ask your respective god(s) “WHY?!”
3 - Turn to your friend and yell “Who the hell is Branden Oliver anyway?!”
4 - Sit in shell-shocked silence. Consider the global implications of the Ebolapocalypse.
5 - Suck it up because it’s fantasy football.
Besides, even All-Stars don’t win all the time. Hence, the weekly All-Star vs. All-Misfit matchup.
2 - Ask your respective god(s) “WHY?!”
3 - Turn to your friend and yell “Who the hell is Branden Oliver anyway?!”
4 - Sit in shell-shocked silence. Consider the global implications of the Ebolapocalypse.
5 - Suck it up because it’s fantasy football.
Besides, even All-Stars don’t win all the time. Hence, the weekly All-Star vs. All-Misfit matchup.
Just a reminder - The All-Star team contains the top players
from each position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton
Manning was the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s
the weekly All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next
person at that position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the
second QB off the board). The All-Misfit team contains the players that nobody
expected to score, but hit paydirt. This team will change drastically
week-to-week, as no player can be on it consecutive weeks.
The scoring is ESPN standard, and the team format is: QB,
RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, D/ST, K.
Without further ado, here is your Week 5 All-Star team!
QB: Peyton
Manning – 31 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 6 points
RB: Jamaal Charles – 8 points
WR: Calvin Johnson – 0 point
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 34 points
TE: Jimmy Graham – 3 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 2 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 21 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 6 points
RB: Jamaal Charles – 8 points
WR: Calvin Johnson – 0 point
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 34 points
TE: Jimmy Graham – 3 points
D/ST: Seahawks - 2 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 21 points
Total: 105 points
Calvin Johnson put another dud, and he may be absent from
this team next week if he’s inactive. Demaryius Thomas owners are relieved to
see he had a huge game – this should continue. Unfortunately for LeSean McCoy
owners, he’s behind a terrible defensive line and is likely a high RB2 with top
3 RB upside – if the O-Line figures out what they’re doing. Jimmy Graham’s bye
couldn’t have come at a better time – he should be fine coming out of it. And
those of you who drafted the Seahawks in the 7th round – how does
that feel now?
Here’s the All-Misfit team!
QB: Austin Davis –
26 points
RB: Branden Oliver – 29 points
RB: Pierre Thomas – 22 points
WR: Kendall Wright – 20 points
WR: Brian Quick – 20 points
TE: Tim Wright – 14 points
D/ST: Packers – 23 points
K: Phil Dawson – 20 points
RB: Branden Oliver – 29 points
RB: Pierre Thomas – 22 points
WR: Kendall Wright – 20 points
WR: Brian Quick – 20 points
TE: Tim Wright – 14 points
D/ST: Packers – 23 points
K: Phil Dawson – 20 points
Total: 174 points
Well, this is a hodgepodge of mediocrity. Davis looked
solid, and something may come of that performance. Kendall Wright finally had
the performance his owners have been waiting for. Brian Quick is also a legit
WR and will be top-20 the rest of the way, especially in PPR leagues. However,
Pierre Thomas and Branden Oliver are flashes-in-the-pan. Oliver’s performance
against a usually rock-solid Jets D/ST came when the defense was gassed beyond
belief. He’s worth a look until Donald Brown comes back, but is no better than
Danny Woodhead in this offense. Tim Wright could have value but it will be
unpredictable, so you have better options out there. As for Pierre Thomas – if you
have him, make an offer to every single other team in your league. Maybe
someone will buy into his huge game. But you’re not going to get Brandon Marshall
for him.
VICTORY: MISFITS!
Tuesday, October 7, 2014
Post-Week 5 Waiver Picking
QUARTERBACKS
Joe Flacco (@ Tampa Bay)
Flacco was sacked a few times last week against
Indianapolis, but that was due to recently filled holes on their O-Line. With
some experience under their belt this week, they have a great matchup against
Tampa Bay. He’s a good flier this week.
Andy Dalton (vs. Carolina)
I normally don’t like Andy Dalton, but he’s got a good
matchup against a struggling Carolina defense. At home after an embarrassing loss
to the Pats, I think Dalton reignites his connection with AJ Green and airs it
out both to Green and somewhat to Bernard.
Desperation Pick-Up: Kirk Cousins (@ Arizona)
Cousins was impressive against what many consider to be the
best defense in the league – he didn’t turn it over at all and connected on
some deep throws. You could do worse this week.
Avoid! – Tony Romo (@ Seattle)
Seattle will be out for blood this week after they allowed
the Redskins to stay in the game too long. Expect them to attack the Cowboys
with all they have. Because this is a run-first offense and Seattle is at home,
stay away from Romo.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Justin Hunter (vs. Jacksonville)
Well, looks like Justin Hunter decided to show up. He’s a
huge physical talent and will get open frequently against Jacksonville. This
should be just like practice for him.
Brian Quick (vs. San Francisco)
The number one wide receiver on a team that has dedicated
themselves to throwing the ball. Why Quick isn’t owned in more leagues, I do
not know. Grab him.
Desperation Pick-Up: Odell Beckham Jr. (@ Philadelphia)
He grabbed a TD last week, and like Hunter is a great
talent. The Giants will feed him, and he’ll do passing well against a porous Philadelphia
secondary.
Avoid! – Greg Jennings (vs. Detroit)
He’s an afterthought in this offense. Jarius Wright and
Cordarrelle Patterson are where it’s at in Minnesota.
RUNNING BACKS (aka
Slim Pickin’s)
Andre Williams (@ Philadelphia)
The Giants offense is clicking, and they can definitely run
the ball. As the clear backup to an injured Rashad Jennings, Williams will get
the majority of the touches over the next few weeks. He will be a solid RB2
until Jennings comes back.
Ronnie Hillman (@ NYJ)
The Broncos have repeatedly said they want to have a dynamic
run game. Now that Montee Ball is out of the mix for a while, the most likely
beneficiary is Hillman. He’s a dynamic back and could carry the load. If he
does well, he may have the job for the rest of the year.
Desperation Pick-Up: Brandin Oliver (@ Oakland)
Yes, he exploded this past week. However, it came against an
exhausted Jets defense who were on the field constantly. I don’t think he’s a
long term solution, but he has a good matchup and would serve as a decent plug
and play this week.
Avoid: Patriots Running Backs (@ Buffalo)
Ridley looked great last week – their O-Line really clicked.
But so did Vereen. The back situation here is completely muddled, and on the
road against Buffalo is not where you want to find out that you got Belichick’d.
TIGHT ENDS
Heath Miller (@ Cleveland)
How many times do I have to say this: Heath Miller is legit.
He’s awesome. Big Ben likes him. Grab him. Start him. He’s reliable.
Owen Daniels (@ Tampa Bay)
Daniels looks good in Baltimore – and he’s got a good
matchup against Tampa Bay. He’s one of Flacco’s favorite targets and a good
red-zone threat. I expect him to get into the endzone this week.
Desperation Pick-Up: Luke Willson (vs. Dallas)
Willson did well in blocking and has good receiving tools.
With Zach Miller out, he’s the clear primary TE option in Seattle, with a
decent matchup against Dallas. You could do worse.
Avoid: Zach Ertz (vs. NYG)
I like Ertz, and I like him in this offense. However,
Sproles and McCoy are getting some of the short work, and the Giants are good
against tight ends. If you can, I’d avoid him this week.
Defense/Special
Teams
San Diego Chargers (@ Oakland)
The Chargers’ defense looks good, lately. They have a great
matchup against Oakland this week. If they’re available in your league, you
should use them. If you were smart enough to grab them the last two weeks, then
keep using them.
Green Bay Packers (@ Miami)
Even though they’re going on the road to Miami, the Packers
should get it done this week. Ryan Tannehill will probably turn it over a few
times, and the Packers defense may even score here.
Desperation Pick: Baltimore Ravens (@ Tampa Bay)
I guess it’s Ravens week here. Tampa Bay is a good matchup
for any defense this season. If you’re in a deeper league, look here.
Avoid: Houston Texans (vs Indianapolis)
Andrew Luck is coming to town. As awesome as JJ Watt is,
there is only one of him. All the weapons the Colts have will result in a tough
day for Houston.
Monday, October 6, 2014
There Are Mistakes... and Then There's You.
If you can tell me week to week who will be the highest
scoring players in fantasy, then I will call you a genius and soon-to-be
millionaire.
That said, we can make educated guesses based on production and matchups. That’s where the phrase “Always start your studs” comes from. It’s why you start Matt Forte over Robert Turbin. Sure- Turbin may bust off an 80 yard touchdown run. But you’d still be an idiot to start him if Marshawn Lynch is healthy. Matt Forte catches and runs in a pretty good offense – his talent, opportunity, and production make him the obvious start.
That said, we can make educated guesses based on production and matchups. That’s where the phrase “Always start your studs” comes from. It’s why you start Matt Forte over Robert Turbin. Sure- Turbin may bust off an 80 yard touchdown run. But you’d still be an idiot to start him if Marshawn Lynch is healthy. Matt Forte catches and runs in a pretty good offense – his talent, opportunity, and production make him the obvious start.
Because we have this relative predictability, you can pretty
much always tell when someone has made a less-than-intelligent move. You know
what I’m talking about – when someone trades a stud for two scrubs who have had
big games. You look at it, scratch your head, give a sigh and move on. Unless
you’re on the receiving end of that trade. That’s when you watch your season
tank.
This column is dedicated to the mistakes.
Since I began writing this blog, our readership has steadily
grown. This is the first article that includes reader letters. If you recognize
something from your league, chuckle along. If you’re the guy who made the
bonehead move… sorry ‘bout it. Here we go!
Dear TOFFG -
I have a buddy in a two quarterback league. The guy he's playing dropped Tom Brady in order to sign ... Charlie Whitehurst. Bonehead move?
I have a buddy in a two quarterback league. The guy he's playing dropped Tom Brady in order to sign ... Charlie Whitehurst. Bonehead move?
-JM
You know what – I don’t hate
this move. Brady has looked terrible and the Titans have weapons. However, it’s
Tom Brady… and it’s Charlie Whitehurst. I would drop Tom Brady in a standard
league, but not necessarily in a two-quarterback league. And certainly not for
Charlie Whitehurst. Whitehurst didn’t choke this week, but some other available
QB’s I like better than him include Blakes Bortles, Brian Hoyer, and maybe even
Joe Flacco. Charlie Whitehurst is a backup
quarterback.
Here’s another:
I traded Peyton [Manning] for Aaron Rodgers and AJ Green after the Rodgers injury last season.
Here’s another:
I traded Peyton [Manning] for Aaron Rodgers and AJ Green after the Rodgers injury last season.
-CS
I know that this didn’t work out for the guy. He toughed it
out, but Rodgers was out for a lot longer than anyone thought. On its face, it
doesn’t look like as much of a boneheaded move. However, once you break it down
– you should have avoided this. 1st mistake – trading for an injured
quarterback. 2nd mistake – trading away the number 1 quarterback.
When you trade Peyton Manning away for an injured QB, even if that QB is Aaron
Rodgers, you’re going to lose. At least you got AJ Green out of it – he probably
helped you make the playoffs, even if you weren’t going to win the league.
Here's a truly dumb move from about two weeks ago, when Jamaal Charles missed a week with what was called a "high ankle sprain."
Dear TOFFG -
Just got offered Jamaal Charles for Terrance West. Thoughts?
-JS
Dear TOFFG -
Just got offered Jamaal Charles for Terrance West. Thoughts?
-JS
My response - "Jesus Christ, take the trade. Take the trade and run. Seriously, do you play with drug addicts?"
Saturday, October 4, 2014
Week 5 Game Picks (and How They Affect Your Fantasy Team)
Here's something new for you - who I think is going to win each game this weekend, and who I think are going to be the best fantasy players in each matchup.
... That's it, actually. Here we go.
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
... That's it, actually. Here we go.
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
Pick: Giants
Falcons Fantasy Leader – Julio Jones, WR
Giants Fantasy Leader – Eli Manning, QB
Falcons Fantasy Leader – Julio Jones, WR
Giants Fantasy Leader – Eli Manning, QB
Eli’s offense is in a groove, and I think he finds his
receivers for a few scores. This is going to be a huge shootout, but I can see
Julio exploding for oodles of yardage. I mean, what else are the Falcons gonna
do – run it?
Chicago Bears @
Carolina Panthers
Pick: Bears
Bears Fantasy Leader – Matt Forte, RB
Panthers Fantasy Leader – Kelvin Benjamin, WR
Bears Fantasy Leader – Matt Forte, RB
Panthers Fantasy Leader – Kelvin Benjamin, WR
The Panthers defense is atrocious, and the Bears will move
the ball how and when they want. Marshall, Cutler, and Jeffery will all do
well, but I think Forte blows up. For the Panthers – Benjamin has been a
reliable fantasy asset, and they can’t run the ball.
Cleveland Browns @
Tennessee Titans
Pick: Browns
Browns Fantasy Leader – Jordan Cameron, TE
Titans Fantasy Leader – Delanie Walker, TE
Browns Fantasy Leader – Jordan Cameron, TE
Titans Fantasy Leader – Delanie Walker, TE
This outcome is a toss-up, but the best fantasy options for
both teams are clear-cut. You can’t trust Hoyer, Tate, Crowell, or Hawkins to
be consistent. You can’t trust Locker, Wright, Hunter, or Sankey to be
consistent. But these tight ends? They’re studs.
St. Louis Rams @
Philadelphia Eagles
Pick: Eagles
Rams Fantasy Leader – Brian Quick, WR
Eagles Fantasy Leader – LeSean McCoy, RB
Rams Fantasy Leader – Brian Quick, WR
Eagles Fantasy Leader – LeSean McCoy, RB
The Eagles are going to destroy the Rams, and it’s not going
to be close. McCoy gets the most points because he’s frustrated from the last
two weeks and he gets a lot of clock-control time. Play Brian Quick for the
Rams, because he’s the only consistent receiver they have.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ New Orleans Saints
Pick: Saints
Buccaneers Fantasy Leader – Vincent Jackson, WR
Saints Fantasy Leader – Drew Brees, QB
Buccaneers Fantasy Leader – Vincent Jackson, WR
Saints Fantasy Leader – Drew Brees, QB
The Saints, at home, coming off an embarrassing loss to the
Cowboys? Brees is going to air it out. I also think Jimmy Graham and Brandin
Cooks have great days here. On the other side of the ball, the Bucs will
exploit the most overrated defense in football, and Vincent Jackson will be the
beneficiary.
Houston Texans @
Dallas Cowboys
Pick: Texans
Texans Fantasy Leader – DeAndre Hopkins, WR
Cowboys Fantasy Leader – DeMarco Murray, RB
Texans Fantasy Leader – DeAndre Hopkins, WR
Cowboys Fantasy Leader – DeMarco Murray, RB
If I had any balls, I’d pick J.J. Watt to be the Texans
leader. But unless you’re in an IDP league, you can’t start him. So take
DeAndre Hopkins and run with him, because he’s got talent and volume of
targets. DeMarco Murray will be fed – fast and frequently. The Cowboys are now
a running team.
Buffalo Bills @
Detroit Lions
Pick: Lions
Bills Fantasy Leader – Sammy Watkins, WR
Lions Fantasy Leader – Reggie Bush, RB
Bills Fantasy Leader – Sammy Watkins, WR
Lions Fantasy Leader – Reggie Bush, RB
Both of these teams have great run defenses, meaning that
they’ll have to lean on their passing game. However, while I expect this to
benefit Watkins on the Bills’ side, Bush will be the biggest beneficiary for
the Lions. Calvin Johnson had a dud last week and may be limited this game, and
Tate is dealing with hamstring issues. Bush has soft hands, and has proven in
years past that he can produce when he receives 20+ touches.
Baltimore Ravens @
Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Colts
Ravens Fantasy Leader – Steve Smith Sr., WR
Colts Fantasy Leader – Andrew Luck, QB
Ravens Fantasy Leader – Steve Smith Sr., WR
Colts Fantasy Leader – Andrew Luck, QB
This will also be a shootout. However, I expect Flacco to
focus in on Smith Sr., because the guy is on a hot streak. Luck will pass the
ball around to all his receiving threats, and may even run one in here. Oh, and
did I mention the Raven’s D/ST has only 1 pick and 4 sacks this year? Go get
Luck-y.
Pittsburgh Steelers
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Pick: Steelers
Steelers Fantasy Leader – Antonio Brown, WR
Jaguars Fantasy Leader – Allen Hurns, WR
Steelers Fantasy Leader – Antonio Brown, WR
Jaguars Fantasy Leader – Allen Hurns, WR
The only analysis needed for this pick is why I chose Brown
over Le’Veon Bell. It’s because I expect the Steelers to get up quickly and sit
Bell by the fourth to avoid freak injuries. Brown will rack up the yardage and
TD’s in the time before the Steelers put in the second string.
Arizona Cardinals @
Denver Broncos
Pick: Broncos
Cardinals Fantasy Leader – Andre Ellington, RB
Broncos Fantasy Leader – Julius Thomas, TE
Cardinals Fantasy Leader – Andre Ellington, RB
Broncos Fantasy Leader – Julius Thomas, TE
This is going to be a great game. Ellington will find some
open ground to move and catch, while Thomas will find the endzone for at least
a pair of scores. Really, the only players I don’t like in this matchup are
Montee Ball (Cardinal’s run defense is pretty good) and Larry Fitzgerald (big
name, bad production this year).
Kansas City Chiefs
@ San Francisco 49ers
Pick: Chiefs
Chiefs Fantasy Leader – Jamaal Charles, RB
49ers Fantasy Leader – Colin Kaepernick, QB
Chiefs Fantasy Leader – Jamaal Charles, RB
49ers Fantasy Leader – Colin Kaepernick, QB
I’m going against the popular consensus by picking the
Chiefs and Charles here, but I think he stays hot and gets it done against a
good 49ers defense. I also think Kaepernick runs for a touchdown, but the
Chiefs pull out a close one.
New York Jets @
San Diego Chargers
Pick: Chargers
Jets Fantasy Leader – Bishop Sankey, RB
Chargers Fantasy Leader – Eddie Royal, WR
Jets Fantasy Leader – Bishop Sankey, RB
Chargers Fantasy Leader – Eddie Royal, WR
Geno Smith will turn it over a few times in this game, and
the Jets will have to go to Sankey just to keep drives going (he’s going to be
hot here). And… I guess I’m all in on Eddie Royal this week. Watch that blow up
in my face.
Cincinnati Bengals
@ New England Patriots
Pick: Bengals
Bengals Fantasy Leader – Giovani Bernard, RB
Patriots Fantasy Leader – Julian Edelman, WR
Bengals Fantasy Leader – Giovani Bernard, RB
Patriots Fantasy Leader – Julian Edelman, WR
The Pats were embarrassed last week, so coming home they’ll get the ball moving by hitting their best wide receiver frequently. On the Bengal’s side of the ball – they go to their strong ground attack to keep the Patriot’s defense on the field and to wear down the Pats by the 4th quarter.
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Redskins
Pick: Seahawks
Seahawks Fantasy Leader – Percy Harvin, WR
Redskins Fantasy Leader – Kai Forbath, K
Seahawks Fantasy Leader – Percy Harvin, WR
Redskins Fantasy Leader – Kai Forbath, K
Ok, so I don’t really expect Forbath to be the highest
fantasy scoring Redskin. I think it will be whoever starts at TE (Niles Paul or
Jordan Reed). But because we have no idea who is going to start between them, I
picked the only guy I expect to score for Washington. Also – I think Harvin
returns one for a touchdown here.
Photo Credit
Photo Credit
Thursday, October 2, 2014
All-Star vs. All-Misfit, Week 4
You know what an all-star team looks like. Superstars at
every position, dominating everything. However, 2014 is a strange fantasy year.
Our expected superstars are looking like super-duds, while some misfits are
rising to prominence.
Enter: the weekly All-Star versus All-Misfit matchup.
The All-Star team contains the top players from each position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton Manning was the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s the weekly All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next person at that position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the second QB off the board).
Enter: the weekly All-Star versus All-Misfit matchup.
The All-Star team contains the top players from each position in terms of Average Draft Positions. For instance, Peyton Manning was the first quarterback off of most boards this year. Therefore, he’s the weekly All-Star QB. If the All-Star player has a bye, I go to the next person at that position by ADP (when Manning is out, I go to Aaron Rodgers, the second QB off the board).
The All-Misfit team contains the players that nobody expected
to score, but hit paydirt. This team will change drastically week-to-week, as
no player can be on it consecutive weeks.
The scoring is ESPN standard, and the team format is: QB,
RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, D/ST, K.
Without further ado, here is your Week 4 All-Star team!
QB: Aaron Rodgers
– 28 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 1 point
RB: Jamaal Charles – 28 points
WR: Calvin Johnson – 1 point
WR: Dez Bryant – 10 points
TE: Jimmy Graham – 12 points
D/ST: Panthers - -8 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 2 points
RB: LeSean McCoy – 1 point
RB: Jamaal Charles – 28 points
WR: Calvin Johnson – 1 point
WR: Dez Bryant – 10 points
TE: Jimmy Graham – 12 points
D/ST: Panthers - -8 points
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 2 points
Total: 74 points
Jamaal Charles and Aaron Rodgers saved this team from total
disaster this week. With Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, and the Seahawks
D/ST on bye this week, only Rodgers showed up as a replacement to do anything.
In fact, the Panthers D/ST is now a poster-child for why you never draft a D/ST
before the second-to-last round.
Here’s the All-Misfit team!
QB: Ryan
Tannehill – 20 points
RB: Jerick McKinnon – 14 points
RB: Knile Davis – 11 points
WR: Eddie Royal – 22 points
WR: Brandon LaFell – 17 points
TE: Larry Donnell – 23 points
D/ST: Eagles – 23 points
K: Blair Walsh – 17 points
RB: Jerick McKinnon – 14 points
RB: Knile Davis – 11 points
WR: Eddie Royal – 22 points
WR: Brandon LaFell – 17 points
TE: Larry Donnell – 23 points
D/ST: Eagles – 23 points
K: Blair Walsh – 17 points
Total: 147 points
Rarely do you see the back-up to one of the starting
All-Star players score enough to make the misfits (looking at you, Knile
Davis). Notables on the misfit team are: Larry Donnell (who didn’t start himself in fantasy), Eddie Royal (the eternal fantasy football zombie from Virginia
Tech), and the Eagles D/ST (who outscored the offense… see LeSean McCoy above).
VICTORY: MISFITS!
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